Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000480 0.000519 0.000559 0.000604 0.000653 0.000704 0.000761
2026-01-11 0.000424 0.000478 0.000537 0.000605 0.000682 0.000767 0.000866
2026-01-18 0.000383 0.000448 0.000520 0.000607 0.000709 0.000825 0.000966
2026-01-25 0.000350 0.000422 0.000504 0.000606 0.000729 0.000873 0.001055
2026-02-01 0.000319 0.000394 0.000483 0.000596 0.000736 0.000904 0.001122
2026-02-08 0.000293 0.000371 0.000465 0.000588 0.000743 0.000934 0.001187
2026-02-15 0.000272 0.000352 0.000450 0.000581 0.000750 0.000963 0.001252
2026-02-22 0.000254 0.000335 0.000437 0.000575 0.000757 0.000991 0.001315
2026-03-01 0.000238 0.000319 0.000424 0.000568 0.000763 0.001017 0.001375
2026-03-08 0.000222 0.000303 0.000409 0.000558 0.000762 0.001034 0.001423
2026-03-15 0.000209 0.000289 0.000397 0.000550 0.000763 0.001052 0.001473
2026-03-22 0.000193 0.000272 0.000378 0.000533 0.000751 0.001051 0.001496
2026-03-29 0.000180 0.000258 0.000364 0.000522 0.000749 0.001066 0.001545
2026-04-05 0.000171 0.000249 0.000358 0.000521 0.000761 0.001101 0.001625
2026-04-12 0.000163 0.000241 0.000353 0.000522 0.000776 0.001142 0.001714
2026-04-19 0.000155 0.000234 0.000346 0.000521 0.000786 0.001176 0.001795
2026-04-26 0.000146 0.000223 0.000335 0.000512 0.000785 0.001192 0.001849
2026-05-03 0.000138 0.000213 0.000326 0.000505 0.000785 0.001210 0.001907
2026-05-10 0.000131 0.000205 0.000317 0.000499 0.000787 0.001231 0.001969
2026-05-17 0.000124 0.000198 0.000310 0.000494 0.000790 0.001252 0.002032
2026-05-24 0.000118 0.000190 0.000302 0.000488 0.000792 0.001272 0.002095
2026-05-31 0.000112 0.000182 0.000293 0.000479 0.000788 0.001282 0.002141
2026-06-07 0.000106 0.000175 0.000285 0.000472 0.000786 0.001296 0.002192